Moving Average Forecast of Order k is ,
`F_(t+1)=(Y_t+Y_(t-1)+...........+Y_(t-k+1))/k`
where, `F_(t+1)` = forecast of the time series for period t+1
`Y_t` = actual value of the time series in period t
We have to calculate the Forecast for the period 15 and the order is 3 ( 3-week moving average)
`:.F_15=(Y_14+Y_13+Y_12)/3`
`F_15=(2139.9+3399+3629.4)/3`
`F_15=9168.3/3`
`F_15=3056.1`
Round to the nearest whole number,
`F_15=3056`
So, the forecast for the period 15 is...
Moving Average Forecast of Order k is ,
`F_(t+1)=(Y_t+Y_(t-1)+...........+Y_(t-k+1))/k`
where, `F_(t+1)` = forecast of the time series for period t+1
`Y_t` = actual value of the time series in period t
We have to calculate the Forecast for the period 15 and the order is 3 ( 3-week moving average)
`:.F_15=(Y_14+Y_13+Y_12)/3`
`F_15=(2139.9+3399+3629.4)/3`
`F_15=9168.3/3`
`F_15=3056.1`
Round to the nearest whole number,
`F_15=3056`
So, the forecast for the period 15 is 3056.
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